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With the UFC’s next pay-per-view event just over three months away, it’s time to begin having a look at the betting odds for your card. Two bouts on the card already have lines introduced, and they’re about as different as could be. In the primary event, T.J. Dillashaw will defend his newly won UFC bantamweight title against the man he took it from, Renan Barao. In their first fight, Barao closed as a massive -910 favorite (bet $910 to acquire $100) over Dillashaw. The Team Alpha Male manhood ruled that first fight, scoring a fifth-round TKO in one of the greatest statistical upsets in UFC history. This moment, the chances are much closer, with Dillashaw sitting at -140 and Barao the small underdog in +120 (bet $100 to win $120). There are eight extra bouts on the card that up until now didn’t have betting lines posted. MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas altered that today as he released the complete UFC 177 gambling odds at 5Dimes Sportsbook. ———- MAIN CARD (PPV, 10pm ET) UFC Bantamweight Title TJ Dillashaw -140 Renan Barao +100 Tony Ferguson -265 Danny Castillo +185 Bethe Correia -160 Shayna Baszler +120 Carlos Diego Ferreira -280 Ramsey Nijem +200 Yancy Medeiros -135 Damon Jackson -105 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (Fox Sports 1, 8pm ET) Lorenz Larkin -140 Derek Brunson +100 Henry Cejudo -185 Scott Jorgensen +145 Anthony Hamilton -210 Ruan Potts +160 Joe Soto -125 Anthony Birchak -115 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Night, 7:30pm ET) Chris Wade -140 Cain Carrizosa +100 ————– Brad’s Evaluation: I actually want Bethe Correia to win this particular battle, so I do not need to listen to anything about the absurd”Four Horsewomen” ever again. That said, Correia has never faced anyone of Baszler’s skill level, particularly when it comes to grappling. I think Baszler can wade through Correia’s drag and striking this battle to the ground where she will have a distinct edge. The greatest worry for me is all about Baszler’s long layoff and injury woes of late, which is more than sufficient to keep me from gambling her. Tony Ferguson seems like a nightmare matchup for Danny Castillo. Castillo has been labeled on the toes several times before, and unlike his bouts against Tim Means or Anthony Njokuanihe will not be able to fall back on his wrestling here if the striking doesn’t go to plan. This should be very competitive in most areas, but Ferguson has slight edges which should propel him to success. Lorenz Larkin is only 27, but the decline in his performances of late makes him seem more like a 37-year-old. He seemed totally listless against Brad Tavares for 10 minutes, and was quickly dispatched by Costas Philippou. On the flip side, Derek Brunson provided the toughest test of Yoel Romero’s career in his most recent bout. It seems like Larkin was really overvalued as a prospect while in Strikeforce, while Brunson was overlooked. This is a very difficult bout to predict in terms of a negative or a total, so I will probably stay away completely. On the other hand, I believe Ramsey Nijem is in for a rough night against Carlos Diego Ferreira. Nijem might have a wrestling advantage , but even that’s questionable. Ferreira is the far better submission grappler, and likely even the greater striker at this stage (though Nijem’s advancement in that regard last time outside was fine to see). I expect Ferreira to get the win, and probably put another end on his resume either from his submission skills or Nijem’s questionable chin. Henry Cejudo always made for fascinating bouts when he had been facing completely overmatched competition, so he’s up against a legitimate test in Scott Jorgensen, I have to admit this is one of my most anticipated bouts on the card. The physical benefits here belong to Cejudo, as does the wrestling edge, naturally. He may not have the well-rounded skill set to prevent Jorgensen, but I believe he wins rounds with takedowns and scrambling. Cejudo handed one of the vital tests for prospects in his last outing as well, getting cracked square on the jaw and shaking it off to win not only the combat, but round as well. The major question with Cejudo, as always, is: how concentrated is he? Maybe being signed with the UFC was the impetus he had to begin taking the game seriously, as in his past appearances (and non-appearances) with Legacy FC, it is quite obvious he’s been coasting at times. Against Jorgensen that he may not be able to get away with a half effort, and if he does it will make him even more special. A Legacy veteran making his UFC debut with less fanfare is 39-year-old Richard Odoms. His only loss came into UFC heavyweight Jared Rosholt, but he’s generally been in a position to control and outhustle opponents to pick up choices. That will be hard against Ruslan Magomedov, that really possesses decent cardio for a heavyweight, to go along with his strong striking. Coming off of almost a year layoff, it’s hard to expect much from Odoms, therefore I expect Magomedov to pick up the win, but he’s somebody I fully expect to fade if he could get a few more wins and confront decent competition. The hype on Yancy Medeiros came a bit too fast, and should almost be snuffed out in this point. His striking defense looked atrocious against both Yves Edwards and Jim Miller, along with his submission match was practically non-existent as he was tapped within seconds of hitting the ground against Miller. Maybe that may work to the advantage of his backers from Justin Edwards however, as Edwards isn’t UFC caliber, even in this point. Edwards has a fantastic guillotine, and not many other skills, therefore Medeiros has this struggle to win so long as he doesn’t dive in that weapon. Edwards will likely come out fast, because he should know that a win will mark the end of his UFC employ. Talking of pink-slip derbies, the failure of Ruan Potts and Anthony Hamilton will probably be shown the door as well, since both put on foul dislpays in their UFC debuts. Potts is an aggressive — but not overly talented — grappler, while Hamilton showed massive holes in his grappling against Alexey Oleinik. On the other hand, Hamilton has some electricity and Potts was set out by one shot on the ground against Soa Palelei. Either guy could complete this fight quickly and that I wouldn’t be surprised, or they could play it safe and we can be treated to a truly awful heavyweight MMA. In case the cost for this particular bout to go over 1.5 rounds is high enough, I may just have a shot in hopes that the bout really is of the bad selection, but I can’t see myself putting considerably more than Monopoly money down with this contest.

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