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It’s simple for fans and sports bettors to overlook UFC 224 while looking forward toward CM Punk’s redemption struggle at UFC 225, the champion vs. champion match-up at UFC 226 and also the rumored Georges St-Pierre vs. Nate Diaz bout at UFC 227.
That would be an error.
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, is becoming an exciting battle card with interesting alternatives for gamblers seeking to parlay prelim fights with main-card bouts. The actual money on this card will be made by betting on stoppages, decisions or the over-under on rounds; not on digging to discover underdogs to lose money on.
[Editor’s note: You can follow Kel at @KelDansby. Dansby is writer for ABC 13 in Las Vegas and co-host of The Corner Podcast and Andreas Hale. The tradition covers boxing, mixed martial arts and pro wrestling by your Hip Hop generation’s view.]
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington, Preview, Betting Picks: Nunes vs. Pennington, Souza vs. Gastelum, Okeinik vs. Albini and More UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington, Preview, Betting Picks: Nunes vs. Pennington, Souza vs. Gastelum, Okeinik vs. Albini and much more Let us start with the card’s main event women’s bantamweight title fight between Amanda Nunes (-1400) and Racquel Pennington (+800). Pennington enters UFC 224 to a four-fight winning series, with her last loss coming from split decision to former bantamweight champion and current featherweight contender Holly Holm.
That run of success may jump off the page to those hoping to wager on a name underdog to mad a winner that still has a lot to prove, but if you dig deeper you find that Pennington’s series is a small mirage.
“Rocky” has only stopped two of the last 10 competitions. Both of those opponents, Jessica Andrade (strawweight) and Ashlee Evans-Smith (flyweight), are now competing in weight reduction classes. Pennington had a split decision to conquer Bethe Correia, which is not a great vote of confidence for all those hoping she’ll conquer Nunes.
Pennington’s latest wins were against Elizabeth Phillips and a deflated Meisha Tate — both also coming by choice. The cherry on top of this”don’t fall for the underdog narrative” cautionary tale is that the fact that Pennington hasn’t happened since November 2016 and has been thrust to this title fight.
The winner Amanda Nunes has been much more striking in her last 10 fights, which explains why she’s such a heavy favourite.
Since the beginning of 2016, Nunes retains two wins over Valentina Shevchenko, a first-round entry of Miesha Tate and Sara McMann, and a totally demolishing knockout of Ronda Rousey.
In fact, the only individuals to take Nunes beyond the first round of a fight was Shevchenko and Cat Zingano, who ceased Nunes with strikes in UFC 178.
Nunes has grown a lot since then and the wise cash points in her stopping Pennington in two and a half rounds that’s currently at -135. If the rounds frighten you, but want to still invest in Nunes, subsequently Nunes by TKO at +120 is a safer way to play it. (Note: all odds herein come from William Hill.)
There is a threat with this bet. Pennington has just been stopped once in her profession, coincidentally also at the hands of Cat Zingano. For those with their hearts set on gambling the dog, Pennington losing by decision (Nunes by UD at +325) is your best bet because the figures say that an upset is not happening on Saturday night.
Speaking of live dogs, the UFC 224 co-main is where creative bets can lead to cashing a substantial ticket.

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